THE CRAZY MARKETS-MID OCTOBER
by Legend Numismatics
LEGEND AND ITS BUSINESS ARE SOLID
First, Legend would like to clarify the last email everyone got from us. We were surprised to hear some people took our "no cash buying" as desperation selling. Wrong!
What we were trying to do is move old inventory and get something we badly needed-gold. Dealers close to us had incredibly strong orders for generic Saints and Liberties and we felt it might be wise to suggest some profit taking. Thanks to that email we did 2 transactions for generic gold and have 2 more on hold. Plus, we simply have too many physical coins. We prefer to control our inventory at certain levels.
SINCE OCTOBER 1ST LEGEND HAS SPENT $3,000,000.00 WITH COLLECTORS! This is NOT getting consignments, NOT placing coins into auction, not anything else but writing checks! We have had everything from a small Pattern Collection to a million dollar collection sold to us this month. We've even purchased a $1,000,000.00 coin that we promptly sold to a collector! The collectors who we knew for a long time and had given us Want Lists had a few holes in their collections filled. We were never kidding when we said we could sell up to $10,000,000.00 in coins -if we could find them. Since Oct 1st, we have found some and the buyers were still there. They especially loved the fact they didn't have to contend for them in an auction and end up overpaying possibly.
Legend can easily handle ANY size deal-still. Unlike many other dealers, we manage our cash flow very well and are well financed.
Our only concerns are about our older inventory. We deem the auction process too risky and slow for today’s daily changing financial marketplace (plus if your coin does sell, you have to wait another 45 days to be paid). We don't want to have an huge inventory being neglected. So we are eager sellers of any coin that has been in our inventory for more than 60 days. $3,000,000.00 (in 2 weeks) buys you a lot of coins-and you forget about your older coins very easily!
An FYI about who was selling and why: not everyone was dumping because they needed money or were panicked. One substantial deal had nothing to do with anything financial. Another deal happened because the collector felt they could not improve their set. Yet another collector was retiring from his business. One collector sold us his duplicates so he had more money to work on his main sets. Only a small handful told us they needed money.
LEGENDS CURRENT SALESWe read one dealer who wrote that its a lie if someone says they are selling a lot of coins. Well, they need a better customer base! A substantial part of the $3 million we purchased is now in collectors hands. Included are coins such as: A choice/GEM PCGS group of PR Half cents, $10 1801 in high grade, an 1808 $2.5 in high AU, several GEM PR Seated Dollars, and one very special coin we will have an announcement on shortly.
These coins all went to different buyers-NOT the usual suspects.
At the new slightly lower levels, coins are indeed trading on the retail level. Not everyone is staring a stock screen trying to figure which window to jump out of. The correction in coins actually happened months ago when collectors realizing things were going to change and the financial world was shifting. At that point, they started to demand ONLY true quality. The lesser material immediately fell at least 10-20%. Up until now, "better" coins have been strong. We see only minor weakness so far-but the coins we are handling are the best of the best and manage to out last (financially) widgets, generics, and general product. The upcoming Stacks and Heritage auctions will be major bellwethers as to where the general market is at. Both follow each other at the end of the month.
THE STOCK MARKET AND THE COIN MARKETThe stock market is pure insanity at this point. Traders have made sure to drive a wedge into every investors thoughts and create a potentially harmful psychology. Even great companies have had their stocks become worth less than their book values! Investors still do have money, but thanks to the loser hedgies (slang for hedge funds) giving them super wedgies, they are sitting on the sidelines confused or plain scared.
Our government is working hard to clean up the mess. Clearly, it will take time to heal. The coin market is NOT spooked. Values have NOT collapsed. Collectors and the general public have bought so much gold bullion there is virtually none available. The major telemarketers are slowly starting to transfer that demand into rare gold coins. The potential for a turn around just based on new collectors who couldn't get gold bullion is staggering.
We have no prediction on how the coin market will now end the year. The stock market is on too wild of a ride to do any serious calculating on. We will say it is a buyers market for many coins-save for the classic rarities. There is NOT a flood of coins to choose from (which is a VERY good sign). Again, all the coins we wanted to sell last week SOLD. Only our older inventory (yes, we'll make deals) is sluggish.
A HUGE POSSIBLITY OF POTENTIAL We are fed up with stocks. Some of our holding have dropped as much as 76% since July! Shame on us for not having the bulk of our assets in a field we know best-coins. No more playing the stock market. We'll put a minimum amount into stocks, and the rest into rare coins. We doubt that over the next few months as things stabilize we'll be alone. Even if a fraction of a fraction of the investor money that’s out there came into coins-we'd be right back in a raging bull market. If this happens it will happen virtually overnight and it will be one heck of a herd coming in. Prices could dramatically shoot up.
Unlike the stock market, coins do not have 1000 point daily stomach churning sessions. In the end you have a beautiful historical hard asset, not a worthless piece of paper.
THERE DEFINATELY IS A COIN MARKET THAT IS STILL ACTIVE. THE SKY IS NOT FALLING!